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BTC Price Prediction: Navigating Short-Term Pressure Toward Long-Term Growth

BTC Price Prediction: Navigating Short-Term Pressure Toward Long-Term Growth

Published:
2025-09-01 08:08:01
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#BTC

  • Technical indicators show oversold conditions with potential for rebound above $113,814 resistance
  • Institutional accumulation and adoption growth provide fundamental support for higher prices
  • Short-term bearish pressure from security concerns and profit-taking creates buying opportunities

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: BTC Shows Oversold Signals with Potential Rebound

BTC is currently trading at $109,678, below its 20-day moving average of $113,814, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD reading of 1,310.73 suggests bullish momentum is weakening but remains positive. Bollinger Bands show price NEAR the lower band at $106,094, potentially signaling oversold conditions. According to BTCC financial analyst John, 'The technical setup suggests we might be approaching a support level where buyers could re-enter the market.'

Bitcoin Price

Mixed Market Sentiment: Institutional Accumulation vs. Short-Term Pressures

Market sentiment presents a complex picture with both bullish and bearish factors. On the positive side, Metaplanet's $109M Bitcoin purchase and the University of Hong Kong's tuition payment acceptance demonstrate growing institutional adoption. However, the $163M in crypto hacks and reports of Bitcoin liquidations for luxury spending create near-term headwinds. BTCC financial analyst John notes, 'While institutional accumulation signals long-term confidence, the market is currently grappling with short-term bearish momentum and security concerns.'

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

Crypto Hacks Surge in August with $163 Million Stolen Across 16 Attacks

August witnessed a stark escalation in cryptocurrency thefts, with hackers absconding with $163 million across 16 separate incidents. Blockchain security firm PeckShield reported this figure as a notable increase from July's $142 million, underscoring the growing frequency and sophistication of cyberattacks in the sector. The most significant breach involved $91.4 million siphoned from multiple anonymous Bitcoin addresses, exposing the vulnerabilities even individual investors face.

Turkey's leading exchange, BtcTurk, suffered a $54 million hack—its second major breach this year following a similar loss in June 2024. CEO Özgür Güneri confirmed unauthorized access, frozen wallets, and ongoing collaboration with authorities. Other platforms like Odin.fun ($7 million), BetterBank.io ($5 million), and CrediX Finance ($4.5 million) also fell victim, reinforcing exchanges as prime targets for attackers.

The surge in hacks reflects the crypto industry's rapid expansion, where new protocols often prioritize speed over rigorous security audits. Human error remains a critical weak point, with phishing and poor key management enabling breaches. As the market matures, the gap between innovation and risk mitigation continues to widen.

Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Holdings with $109M Purchase

Metaplanet has deepened its Bitcoin commitment, acquiring an additional 1,009 BTC worth approximately $109 million. The Tokyo-listed firm now holds 20,000 BTC, positioning itself among the most aggressive corporate accumulators of the cryptocurrency.

The strategic accumulation mirrors MicroStrategy's playbook, treating Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset. This move coincides with renewed institutional interest following spot ETF approvals and the April 2024 halving event.

Market observers note the purchase occurred during Bitcoin's consolidation between $60,000-$70,000, suggesting Metaplanet views current prices as attractive for long-term holding. The company's public filings describe Bitcoin as "digital gold" with superior scarcity characteristics to fiat currencies.

Bitcoin Breaks Key Supports Amid Bearish Momentum Shift

Bitcoin's four-month rally has stalled with a 6.5% August decline, marking its worst monthly performance since March. The cryptocurrency breached critical technical levels including the Ichimoku cloud and 50/100-day moving averages, while spot ETFs saw $751 million in outflows.

Technical indicators now flash warning signs. The GMMA shows bearish crossover, while the MACD histogram turned negative on weekly charts—a classic sell signal. These developments suggest potential downside toward the 200-day SMA near $101,366, with psychological support at $100,000 looming as the next battleground.

Seasonal headwinds compound the technical damage. September historically ranks as Bitcoin's weakest month, with an average 6% decline over the past decade. Market participants now watch whether institutional flows can offset these bearish technicals and seasonal pressures.

Odell Beckham Jr.'s Bitcoin Salary Surges Past $1.2M as BTC Hits $108K

NFL star Odell Beckham Jr.'s decision to convert his entire $750,000 salary into Bitcoin in November 2021 has proven prescient. At the time of conversion, BTC traded near $64,000—just shy of its then-all-time high. The move drew skepticism when prices collapsed below $19,000 during 2022's crypto winter.

Four years later, Bitcoin's rally beyond $108,000 has transformed Beckham's gamble into a potential windfall. Had he held the position, his BTC holdings would now exceed $1.2 million before taxes. The athlete partnered with Cash App for the conversion, though it remains unclear whether he received lump-sum or incremental payments.

This mirrors Russell Okung's earlier experiment—the NFL lineman's 2020 Bitcoin salary now approaches $36 million at current valuations. Both cases highlight how volatile crypto compensation can yield exponential gains for risk-tolerant athletes.

Bitcoin Survival Story: Why Bitcoin Still Dominates the Crypto World

Bitcoin continues to defy skeptics, maintaining its dominance in the cryptocurrency market despite regulatory headwinds and environmental concerns. Major corporations like PayPal and Tesla have integrated Bitcoin into their platforms, broadening its accessibility and legitimizing its use as a financial asset. El Salvador's groundbreaking decision to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender further cemented its role in global finance.

Institutional confidence remains strong, with firms like MicroStrategy and Square holding billions in Bitcoin on their balance sheets. Technological advancements, including SegWit and the Lightning Network, have addressed scalability issues, reducing transaction costs and improving speed. Meanwhile, the shift toward renewable energy in mining operations has alleviated some environmental criticisms.

Bitcoin's resilience through market crashes and global scrutiny underscores its enduring appeal. Its ability to attract adoption from both private and public sectors ensures its position as the leading digital currency.

Bitcoin Faces Short-Term Bearish Pressure Amid Oversold Signals

Bitcoin's meteoric rally to $120,000 in 2025 has given way to a cooling period, with the cryptocurrency now trading at $108,500 within a falling trend channel. Technical indicators paint a cautious picture—support sits at $101,300 while resistance looms at $110,000, with the RSI plunging below 30 signaling extreme oversold conditions.

Market sentiment mirrors this technical weakness. Despite historic precedents where such RSI levels preceded rebounds, the current downward trajectory suggests sustained selling pressure. Institutional inflows and ETF demand that fueled earlier gains now face a test as short-term momentum turns decisively bearish.

The dichotomy between Bitcoin's long-term adoption narrative and immediate technical headwinds creates a pivotal moment. While the $2.16 trillion market cap underscores its dominance, the path through September may hinge on whether key support levels can hold against mounting pessimism.

Rich Bitcoiners Are Reportedly Spending BTC on Luxury Holidays: Does This Really Make Sense?

Bitcoin's latest rally is fueling a surge in luxury travel purchases, with high-net-worth individuals increasingly using crypto to book private jets, cruises, and boutique hotel stays. Flexjet's FXAIR now accepts Bitcoin for transatlantic flights priced around $80,000, while Virgin Voyages sells $120,000 annual cruise passes in crypto. SeaDream Yacht Club and The Kessler Collection have also adopted crypto payments.

The trend reflects crypto's growing acceptance in high-end markets, where transaction fees and volatility are less consequential. For wealthy holders, spending Bitcoin carries symbolic value—echoing past bull-market splurges on Lamborghinis and Rolexes. Yet the practice raises questions about long-term financial prudence, given Bitcoin's history of appreciation. The infamous 2010 pizza purchase—where 10,000 BTC (now worth billions) bought two pies—looms as a cautionary tale.

With Bitcoin hitting $124,128 in mid-August, some view this as an opportune moment to cash out gains. Others risk future regret if prices continue climbing. The luxury travel boom underscores crypto's dual role as both investment vehicle and status symbol.

Bitcoin Accumulation Surge Signals Potential Breakout Amid Institutional Demand

Bitcoin's price stability at $108,716 belies a brewing storm of accumulation by both retail and institutional investors. Corporate adoption has reached historic levels, with 28 new bitcoin treasury companies emerging in July and August alone, adding over 140,000 BTC to corporate holdings. This nearly matches the annual bitcoin supply of 164,000 BTC, highlighting a supply-demand imbalance that could fuel a major price movement.

André Dragosch of Bitwise points to a steep upward curve in corporate bitcoin reserves, mirroring Michael Saylor's strategy at MicroStrategy. The narrative of a 2025 cycle top, based on past halving patterns, may underestimate the current scale of institutional demand. Institutions have absorbed 690,000 BTC against a new supply of just 109,000 BTC—demand outpacing supply by 6.3 times.

Master Cryptocurrency Tracking with the Smart and Intuitive CryptoAppsy

CryptoAppsy emerges as a vital tool for navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market, offering real-time price updates and historical data for thousands of assets, including Bitcoin and trending altcoins. Its lightweight design, available on iOS and Android, eliminates the need for account creation, streamlining user access.

The app's robust server infrastructure aggregates data from global exchanges, enabling users to identify arbitrage opportunities and market shifts swiftly. Portfolio tracking features update asset values in real time, providing traders with actionable insights at a glance.

University of Hong Kong Business School to Accept Bitcoin for Tuition Payments

The University of Hong Kong's Business School is positioning itself as a pioneer in Asian higher education by preparing to accept Bitcoin and other digital currencies for tuition fees and donations. All technical preparations are complete, with implementation now focused on regulatory compliance and security measures.

Dean Professor Cai Hongbin confirmed the move at the CryptoFi Forum, emphasizing the institution's commitment to financial innovation. The initiative aligns with Hong Kong's newly launched stablecoin licensing regime, reflecting broader institutional adoption of digital assets.

Lawmaker Johnny Ng stressed the importance of robust KYC procedures as Hong Kong increasingly integrates cryptocurrency into mainstream transactions. The university is collaborating with industry partners to ensure seamless integration of digital currency payments.

Japanese Nail Salon Chain Convano Pivots to Bitcoin Accumulation with 21,000 BTC Target

Convano Inc., a Tokyo-based nail salon operator, is executing a radical corporate transformation by positioning itself as a major Bitcoin holder. The company aims to amass 21,000 BTC—equivalent to 0.1% of Bitcoin's total supply—by March 2027 through a $3 billion capital raise.

The firm has already acquired 365 BTC as of August 2025, representing just 2% of its fundraising target. Convano's shares surged 100% following the announcement, reflecting market enthusiasm for its unconventional treasury strategy amid the yen's 21% depreciation against the dollar.

Seven Japanese corporations now rank among the top 100 public Bitcoin holders, signaling growing institutional adoption in Asia. Convano plans phased purchases of 2,000 BTC by 2025 and 10,000 BTC by 2026, with an average target price of ¥19.9 million per coin.

How High Will BTC Price Go?

Based on current technical indicators and market developments, BTC could potentially reach $125,000-$135,000 in the medium term once it breaks through key resistance levels. The current oversold conditions near Bollinger lower band, combined with institutional accumulation trends and growing adoption, suggest underlying strength despite short-term pressures.

TimeframeTarget PriceKey Drivers
Short-term (1-2 months)$115,000-$120,000Oversold bounce, institutional buying
Medium-term (3-6 months)$125,000-$135,000Adoption growth, macro conditions
Long-term (12+ months)$150,000+Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity

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